‘Seun Ibukun-Oni, Damilola Aina
Daily Courier – Ahead of the forthcoming Ekiti state Gubernatorial elections slated for June 18th, 2022, a new public opinion poll conducted by Gates Polls has favoured Engr. Segun Oni the candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in an early 4-point marginal lead over Biodun Oyebanji, candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC).
The face-to-face state wide poll was conducted between 1st and 4th June 2022, and it sought to assess the preparedness of voters towards the forthcoming Governorship election in Ekiti state. From the results of 1040 randomly selected eligible voters across all the (16) LGA in Ekiti state and interviewed face-to-face: Engr Segun Oni of SDP polled 34.3 percent; Biodun Oyebanji of APC polled 30.2 percent; Bisi Kolawole of PDP (15 percent); and other candidates (3.5 percent).
However, about 17 percent of respondents are undecided days to the governorship election.
Interestingly, the poll also revealed that while 80.5 percent of respondents claimed to have obtained their Permanent Voters Card (PVC), 79.3 percent were certain they would come out and vote for the gubernatorial candidate of their choice on June 18, 2022. However, despite this level of optimism and preparedness, a significant proportion (49.6 percent) of eligible voters believe that the election will not be free and fair. In addition, the poll revealed that a significant proportion of eligible voters (10.6 percent) are skeptical about coming out to vote in the forthcoming election mainly due to insecurities.
Ekiti eligible voters across all the local governments from the polls believe the most important task before the next governor of the land of honour is employment opportunities (30.3 percent); while economy (28.5 percent); infrastructures (13.9 percent); education (12.8 percent); security (9.1 percent) and food security (5.4 percent).
Further findings indicated that while Engr Segun Oni appeared to enjoy significant support in Oye, Gbonyin, Ekiti East, Ekiti South West, Emure, Ido/ Osi, Ikole, Ise/Orun, local governments predominantly in Ekiti North (39 percent); Ekiti South (38.5 percent), Ekiti Central (24.2 percent) and Oyebanji’s support base was observed mainly in: Ado, Ikere, Efon, Ekiti West, and Irepodun/Ifelodun enjoying a larger share of support in Ekiti Central (42.7 percent) senatorial district.
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Gates Polls Ekiti Guber PDP and APC Primary Poll is available in the link below:
In conclusion, this poll has Oni in an early lead for the June 18 governorship election in Ekiti state with a marginal 4 -piont lead over the next candidate, Oyebanji. However, the forthcoming election remains a strongly contested race considering the significant proportion of voters (20.7 percent) who remain either undecided or seek confidentiality as to their choice of candidate meaning the results is still open.
About Gates Polls and Poll Methodology
Gates Polls Limited is an indigenous media, opinion polls and survey company which specializes in the collection, publication and distribution of public opinion information.
We conduct public opinion polls on a variety of topics to inform our audience on events in the news and other topics of interest. To ensure editorial control and independence, we pay for the polls ourselves and generate revenue through the sale of subscriptions, sponsorships, and advertising. Weekly polling on politics, business and lifestyle topics provides the content to update the Gates Polls web site. If it’s in the news, it’s in our polls. Additionally, the data drives a weekly update newsletter and various media outlets across the country.
To learn more about our methodology, click here:
The poll was conducted between 1st and 4th June 2021. It involved face-to-face interviews of a random state-wide sample in Ekiti State. 1040 randomly selected residents of Ekiti state aged 18 years and above, representing the sixteen local governments of the state, were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically significant – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%. Of the 1040 respondents, 50 percent were male and 48.8 percent female respondents while 1.2 percent prefer not to say. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the local governments in representation of the state’s population – Ado Ekiti – (90 respondents); Irepodun Ifelodun – (60 respondents); Ikere – (70 respondents); Ido Osi – (60 respondents); Oye – (60 respondents); Aiyekire (Gbonyin) – 60 respondents); Efon – 60 respondents); Ekiti East – (60 respondents); Ekiti South-West – (70 respondents); Ekiti West – 60 respondents); Emure – (60 respondents); Ijero – (60 respondents); Ikole – (70 respondents); Ilejemeje – (60 respondents); Ise/Orun – (60 respondents); and Moba – (60 respondents).
In addition, 41.9 percent of respondents were aged between 18 and 34 years; 30.3 percent between 35 and 49 years; and 15.4 percent were aged between 50 and 69 years while 12.4 percent were above 70 years. In terms of employment status of respondents: Artisan (17.3 percent); Business (18.7 percent); Civil servant (9.6 percent); Farming (12.4 percent); House wife (8.5 percent); Public servant (4.5 percent); Student (17.2 percent); Unemployed (7.9 percent); Retiree (3.9 percent).